Hattrick Match Analysis

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Predictor v2.0

ATTENTION My service provider decided that my site is generating too much traffic thus is shutting down the service from time to time. I've close the possibility to make prediction directly into hattrick via foxtrick but it seems not enough. That's why the predictor will not work well, or won't work at all, in the next day. I'm trying to find a solution but it could take some time. Sorry.

Il mio provider internet ha deciso che HTMS genera troppo traffico e quindi ogni tanto blocca il servizio. Ho disabilitato la possibilità di effettuare predizioni tramite foxtrick ma sembra non sia abbastanza. Quindi qualche volta il predictor non funzionerà bene e qualche altra non funzionerà del tutto. Sto cercando una soluzione alternativa ma ci potrebbe volere diverso tempo. Spiacente.

news v 2.0: new improved formula for realization chance! (formula explained in italian)
news v 1.9: longshot tactic is now included

The HTMS match predictor is a tool that tells you how should have ended a match with some specific ratings. The calculation of the prediction has been made deeply analyzing lots of matched downloaded from hattrick. The study results are available here: Realizacja

If you want to calculate the results of the whole season of a specific serie, use this tool instead: Table of statistical truth

Prognoza meczowa opiera si臋 na poni偶szych za艂o偶eniach:
  • Specjalne zdarzenia nie s膮 brane pod uwag臋.
  • Prawdopodobie艅stwo powodzenia sta艂ych fragment贸w gry wynosi 50%
  • Je偶eli poziom taktyki nie jest wybrany, domy艣lnie przyjmowana jest warto艣膰 "znakomity"
  • Tactic effectiveness should take in account the medium skill level of players in the field. Since this is not possible, the medium level is taken from the total hatstats of the match
  • CA tactic taken in account is the new one, the one that is active since january 2010. The effectiveness is calculated with a bynomial progression starting from the total hatstats of the match
Jak otrzymujemy ten wynik?

Zesp贸艂 AZesp贸艂 B
Ocenyszansa na zdobycie golaOcenyszansa na zdobycie gola
Prawa obrona
艢rodek obrony
Lewa obrona
Prawy atak
艢rodkowy atak
Lewy atak
Poziom taktyki
Szansa wykorzystania sta艂ego fragmentu

Pobierz spotkanie z wewn臋trznej bazy danych

Get matchid function disapproved from CHPP staff thus is disabled. Will be replaced by htmsStatistics module on new forxtrick release: 0.4.9
Poka偶 informacje